Marina Bassols Ribera vs Paula BadosaBastad Round of 32

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#134WTA
1610ELO
1593Clay ELO
26 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#84WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Bassols Ribera M.
3-6 2-6
Badosa P.
Bassols Ribera M.
320
Badosa P.
662

Paula Badosa defeated Marina Bassols Ribera in the Round of 32 at Bastad, advancing with a 6-3, 6-2 victory on clay. The win moves Badosa into the next round of the tournament.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
54%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
7.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
91
Break points saved·Dominant
27
84
Break points won·Slight edge
89
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
58
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
13
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Bassols Ribera M.11%
Badosa P.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Badosa P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1538
Surface ELO
6.8+146 Clay Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1557
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1779
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Bassols Ribera M.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw