Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela — Bastad Round of 32

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
GER
Noma Noha Akugue
#141WTA
1624ELO
1550Clay ELO
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
ESP
Irene Burillo Escorihuela
#233WTA
1373ELO
1358Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
Noha Akugue N.
5-7 6-2 2-6
Burillo Escorihuela I.
Noha Akugue N.
5621
Burillo Escorihuela I.
7262

Irene Burillo Escorihuela defeated Noma Noha Akugue in the Round of 32 at Bastad. The match was played on clay and Burillo Escorihuela won with a score of 7-5, 2-6, 6-2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Noha Akugue N.Burillo Escorihuela I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
53%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
50%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
46%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
0.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Noha Akugue N.Burillo Escorihuela I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
39
Break points saved·Dominant
80
5
Break points won·Even
84
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
35
89
Tiebreaks·
95
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Noha Akugue N.80%
Burillo Escorihuela I.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noha Akugue N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Noha Akugue N.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Burillo Escorihuela I.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1387
7.8Overall Elo 1621
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Noha Akugue N.Burillo Escorihuela I.
Freshness·Even
97
100

Noha Akugue N.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Burillo Escorihuela I.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw