Alex Rybakov vs Tung Lin WuNewport Qualifying Semi-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#507ATP
1352ELO
1397Grass ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
#370ATP
1406ELO
1363Grass ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLWW
Rybakov A.
6-4 7-6
Lin Wu T.
Rybakov A.
672
Lin Wu T.
460

Alex Rybakov advanced to the final of the Newport grass-court tournament by defeating Tung Lin Wu in the semifinals. Rybakov won the match in straight sets, 6-4, 7-6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Even
3.3
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.1
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
15
10
Break points saved·Even
84
84
Break points won·Even
5
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
18
6
Tiebreaks·Even
5
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Rybakov A.43%
Lin Wu T.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+34 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1362
4.3Overall Elo 1352
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1406
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
Surface form
3.32 of last 8 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Rybakov A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw