Keegan Smith vs Zsombor Piros — Brasov Final

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Final
USA
Keegan Smith
#198ATP
1421ELO
1254Clay ELO
28 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRAL COURT · 1st on
Zsombor Piros
HUN2
Zsombor Piros
#121ATP
1661ELO
1621Clay ELO
$192kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
Smith K.
4-6 4-6
Piros Z.
Smith K.
440
Piros Z.
662

Zsombor Piros won the Brasov final on clay, defeating Keegan Smith 6-4, 6-4. Piros hit 3 aces and committed 0 double faults, while converting 23% of break points and securing 3 service breaks. In comparison, Smith hit 5 aces, also with 0 double faults, converted 100% of break points, and had 1 service break.

Key context

  • Match story: Zsombor Piros edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Smith K.Piros Z.
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Smith K.Piros Z.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
26
0
Break points saved·Dominant
84
25
Break points won·Slight edge
3
11
Deciding sets·Even
48
45
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
10
1

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Smith K.8%
Piros Z.92%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Piros Z. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Smith K.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Piros Z.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
0.2Clay Elo 1254
Surface ELO
9.8+382 Clay Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1421
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1674
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Smith K.Piros Z.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
94

Smith K.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Piros Z.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw