Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Ekaterina OvcharenkoNewport Qualifying Final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#342WTA
1360ELO
1365Grass ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
#646WTA
1306ELO
1328Grass ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWL
Yamalapalli S.
6-3 6-4
Ovcharenko E.
Yamalapalli S.
662
Ovcharenko E.
340

Sahaja Yamalapalli won the final of the Newport grass tournament, defeating Ekaterina Ovcharenko 6-3, 6-4. Yamalapalli converted 56% of her break points and secured 5 service breaks, while Ovcharenko converted 75% of her break points and secured 3 service breaks. Yamalapalli and Ovcharenko each hit 1 ace and committed 5 and 2 double faults, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
52%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
41%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Yamalapalli S.72%
Ovcharenko E.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yamalapalli S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
5.5+37 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1328
5.7Overall Elo 1360
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1306
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
3.0Clay → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw