Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikova — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 16
Karolina Muchova
CZE10
Karolina Muchova
#7WTA
2066ELO
1852Grass ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 2nd on
Barbora Krejcikova
CZE
Barbora Krejcikova
#26WTA
1874ELO
1773Grass ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWWWW
Muchova K.
7-5 5-7 6-3
Krejcikova B.
Muchova K.
7562
Krejcikova B.
5731

Karolina Muchova defeated Barbora Krejcikova in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 victory. Muchova hit 9 aces to Krejcikova's 4 and won 3 service breaks to Krejcikova's 2. Muchova converted 30% of her break points, while Krejcikova converted 33%.

Around the match

  • “I was just trying not to think about it, really focused on the moment. I still felt good. I could see she started to hit really freely when I was 5-2 up, she played some good points, she just went for it.”

    Muchova K.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “On those crucial break points I was telling myself: I have to play the ball and win the ball, not just put it, because she's going to take it.”

    Muchova K.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “She's super talented. Today, some of the shots she played, crazy. When she's healthy, she's playing great tennis. She's also in a great form.”

    Krejcikova B.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2013-11-25Bol 10KR16clayBarbora Krejcikova6-0 6-1

Statistics

This season
Muchova K.Krejcikova B.
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
63%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Muchova K.Krejcikova B.
Clutch Rating·Even
92
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
83
Break points won·Slight edge
88
94
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Muchova K.68%
Krejcikova B.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Muchova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Muchova K.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Krejcikova B.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1774
Surface ELO
5.4+28 Grass Elo edge
6.9Overall Elo 2041
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on grass
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.9Won 65% in United Kingdom (20)
Country comfort
6.3Won 71% in United Kingdom (28)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Muchova K.Krejcikova B.
Freshness·
—
88

Krejcikova B.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw