Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan Lennard StruffWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
#69ATP
1798ELO
1700Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWLW
2 — 2
Sets
Retired
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 3rd on
#43ATP
1694ELO
1623Grass ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWL
Hurkacz H.
6-3 7-6 6-7 5-7 2-4
Lennard Struff J.
Hurkacz H.
676522
Lennard Struff J.
367742

Jan Lennard Struff advanced to the quarterfinals of Wimbledon with a win over Hubert Hurkacz in the Round of 16. Hurkacz retired during the match, trailing 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-5, 4-2. Struff hit 24 aces and converted 36% of break points, while Hurkacz had 34 aces and converted 75% of break points.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26DubaiR32hardHubert Hurkacz7-6 6-7 7-6
2023-10-23BaselR16hardHubert Hurkacz6-1 6-4
2023-06-12StuttgartSFgrassJan Lennard Struff3-6 6-3 6-3
2016-09-16Davis Cup WG PO: GER vs POLRRclayJan Lennard Struff7-6 6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
33%
Break points saved·Even
69%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.0
10.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
51
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Slight edge
16
5
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
68
Tiebreaks·Even
95
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Hurkacz H.77%
Lennard Struff J.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Hurkacz H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Grass Elo 1623
6.3Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1692
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 69% in United Kingdom (26)
Country comfort
5.1Won 52% in United Kingdom (23)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
83

Hurkacz H.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Lennard Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw