Kilian Feldbausch vs Marvin MoellerTroyes Final

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Final
#235ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · 1st on
#327ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Feldbausch K.
6-7 3-6
Moeller M.
Feldbausch K.
630
Moeller M.
762

Marvin Moeller won the final of the Troyes clay court tournament, defeating Kilian Feldbausch with a score of 7-6, 6-3. The match was the championship contest. Moeller emerged victorious to claim the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
44
48
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
43
Break points won·Clear edge
64
44
Deciding sets·Even
77
73
Tiebreaks·
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Feldbausch K.87%
Moeller M.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Feldbausch K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.7+215 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1385
7.8Overall Elo 1618
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1398
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.09 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.09 of last 10 on clay
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
52

Feldbausch K.: 19 days rest · Moeller M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 126 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw