Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic — Wimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 16
Roman Safiullin
RUS
Roman Safiullin
#103ATP
1750ELO
1627Grass ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
1 — 3
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 1st on
Novak Djokovic
SRB7
Novak Djokovic
#5ATP
2059ELO
1925Grass ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Safiullin R.
6-7 3-6 6-3 3-6
Djokovic N.
Safiullin R.
63631
Djokovic N.
76363

Novak Djokovic defeated Roman Safiullin in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 7-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 victory. Djokovic hit 10 aces and committed 3 double faults, while Safiullin had 8 aces and 3 double faults. Djokovic converted 56% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Safiullin's 4.

Around the match

  • “And the outbursts as well. The meltdowns. I had a few of those today as well. I apologise.”

    Djokovic N.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Novak Djokovic closed it out in four sets, 7–6 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR16hardNovak Djokovic6-3 6-2
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR32clayNovak Djokovic6-1 6-2
2022-09-26Tel AvivSFhardNovak Djokovic6-1 7-6
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Safiullin R.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
9.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Safiullin R.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
20
100
Break points saved·Slight edge
93
100
Break points won·Dominant
18
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
22
100
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Safiullin R.7%
Djokovic N.93%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Djokovic N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Safiullin R.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Grass Elo 1618
Surface ELO
8.8+307 Grass Elo edge
0.9Overall Elo 1732
ELO gap
9.1Overall Elo 2059
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.68 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on grass
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
7.4Won 90% in United Kingdom (124)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Opponent rise
2.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Safiullin R.Djokovic N.
Freshness·Even
88
86

Safiullin R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw