Belinda Bencic vs Coco GauffWimbledon Round of 16

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 16
#12WTA
1989ELO
1791Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 5 July 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 3rd on
#4WTA
2071ELO
1823Grass ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
Bencic B.
6-4 3-6 4-6
Gauff C.
Bencic B.
6341
Gauff C.
4662

Coco Gauff defeated Belinda Bencic in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 victory. Gauff hit 4 aces and 9 double faults, winning 69% of her first serves and converting 42% of break points. She secured 5 service breaks to Bencic's 4 in the match.

Around the match

  • I think I'm not playing my best tennis -- I think today, I didn't serve as well as I did in my last match but I held when I needed to. I definitely feel more confident after the last few matches.

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis
  • I'm super happy to be in the quarterfinals finally. I was looking at the clock in the last service game and I was like, 'I have to hit some big serves and big shots.'

    Gauff C.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

25
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiQFhardCoco Gauff6-3 1-6 6-3
2025-09-24BeijingR16hardCoco Gauff4-6 7-6 6-2
2025-04-22MadridR16clayCoco Gauff6-4 6-2
2025-03-05Indian WellsR16hardBelinda Bencic3-6 6-3 6-4
2025-01-13Australian OpenR16hardCoco Gauff5-7 6-2 6-1
2023-07-31WashingtonQFhardCoco Gauff6-1 6-2
2021-02-22AdelaideSFhardBelinda Bencic7-6 6-7 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
94
Break points saved·Even
84
81
Break points won·Even
96
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Bencic B.39%
Gauff C.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gauff C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1791
Surface ELO
5.4+32 Grass Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1989
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 2071
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in United Kingdom (43)
Country comfort
6.2Won 69% in United Kingdom (26)
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
64

Bencic B.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw