Marcos Giron vs Alexander Zverev — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Marcos Giron
USA
Marcos Giron
#83ATP
1718ELO
1622Grass ELO
$500kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLL
0 — 3
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 2nd on
Alexander Zverev
GER2
Alexander Zverev
#3ATP
2100ELO
1914Grass ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWWL
Giron M.
2-6 6-7 4-6
Zverev A.
Giron M.
2640
Zverev A.
6763

Alexander Zverev advanced to the Round of 16 at Wimbledon by defeating Marcos Giron in straight sets, 6-2, 7-6, 6-4. Zverev served 17 aces to Giron's one and converted four service breaks to his opponent's one. The two players had identical double fault counts and first-serve win percentages, and converted break points at the same 25% rate.

Around the match

  • “This year, for some reason, the tournament is kind of just getting started for me. What helps me most right now is that I'm playing better – it's as simple as that. Winning the French Open helps with confidence, and anybody would sign up to come to Wimbledon as the French Open champion.”

    Zverev A.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16HalleR32grassAlexander Zverev6-2 6-1
2024-10-21ViennaR16hardAlexander Zverev6-2 7-5
2024-07-01WimbledonR64grassAlexander Zverev6-2 6-1 6-4
2021-02-08Australian OpenR128hardAlexander Zverev6-7 7-6 6-3 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Giron M.Zverev A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
59%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
72%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
10.0
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Giron M.Zverev A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
44
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Dominant
37
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Giron M.5%
Zverev A.95%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Giron M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Zverev A.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.8Grass Elo 1660
Surface ELO
8.2+254 Grass Elo edge
0.5Overall Elo 1736
ELO gap
9.5Overall Elo 2100
2.2Trails 0–2 on grass
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on grass
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.3Won 56% in United Kingdom (27)
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in United Kingdom (27)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Giron M.Zverev A.
Freshness·Dominant
91
66

Giron M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw