Lorenzo Giustino vs Kilian Feldbausch — Troyes Semi-final

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Lorenzo Giustino
ITA1
Lorenzo Giustino
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT CENTRAL - AMPLITUDE · 2nd on
SUI3
Kilian Feldbausch
#235ATP
1618ELO
1599Clay ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
Giustino L.
4-6 3-6
Feldbausch K.
Giustino L.
430
Feldbausch K.
662

Kilian Feldbausch defeated Lorenzo Giustino in the semifinals of the Troyes clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-3 in favor of Feldbausch. This win advanced Feldbausch to the final.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Giustino L.Feldbausch K.
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
62%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Giustino L.Feldbausch K.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
44
Break points saved·Slight edge
32
27
Break points won·Dominant
9
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
77
Tiebreaks·
10
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Giustino L.11%
Feldbausch K.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Feldbausch K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Giustino L.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Feldbausch K.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.0Clay Elo 1360
Surface ELO
8.0+239 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1424
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Giustino L.Feldbausch K.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Giustino L.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Feldbausch K.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 20%

Draw