Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettini — Wimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32
Grigor Dimitrov
BUL
Grigor Dimitrov
#138ATP
1744ELO
1662Grass ELO
$329kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
3 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 4 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 3rd on
Matteo Berrettini
ITA
Matteo Berrettini
#42ATP
1831ELO
1739Grass ELO
$902kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Dimitrov G.
6-3 6-4 3-6 5-7 6-3
Berrettini M.
Dimitrov G.
663563
Berrettini M.
346732

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Matteo Berrettini in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon, prevailing 6-3, 6-4, 3-6, 5-7, 6-3. Dimitrov hit 14 aces and committed 4 double faults, while Berrettini had 23 aces and 3 double faults. Dimitrov converted 36% of break points and won 4 service breaks to Berrettini's 3.

Around the match

  • “I got broken in the first game of the fourth set, so that was not a great start. I looked up four or five times, hoping I'd finish the match before the roof was about to close again. It was almost like déjà vu, all you can do is smile at that. What happened in the past stays there.”

    Dimitrov G.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “I honestly don't have much to say other than I'm so happy to be back and playing tennis in front of you. All I wanted was to come out and fight, I didn't think about winning or losing, I didn't even think about my body to that extent. The last year has been so difficult. It's not about winning or losing, it's about conquering myself.”

    Dimitrov G.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Grigor Dimitrov closed it out in five sets, 6–3 6–4 3–6 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-10-21ViennaR16hardMatteo Berrettini7-6 7-6
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersR64clayGrigor Dimitrov7-5 6-4

Statistics

This season
Dimitrov G.Berrettini M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
51%
68%
Aces / match·Even
8.1
8.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dimitrov G.Berrettini M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
75
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Clear edge
64
42
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
88
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Dimitrov G.27%
Berrettini M.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Berrettini M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dimitrov G.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Berrettini M.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Grass Elo 1662
Surface ELO
6.0+77 Grass Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1754
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1831
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.88 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.9Won 64% in United Kingdom (45)
Country comfort
6.3Won 72% in United Kingdom (25)
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dimitrov G.Berrettini M.
Freshness·Clear edge
89
76

Dimitrov G.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Berrettini M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw