Karolina Muchova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32

CZE10

Karolina Muchova

#7WTA

2066ELO

1852Grass ELO

$4.5MYTD

$15MCAREER

29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWWWWWW

2 — 0

Sets

Friday, 3 July 2026 · 17:30

grass

No.3 Court · 3rd on

THA

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

#105WTA

1696ELO

1592Grass ELO

24 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWLLWWWLW

Muchova K.

6-2 7-6

Sawangkaew M.

Muchova K.

672

Sawangkaew M.

260

Karolina Muchova advanced to the Round of 16 at Wimbledon by defeating Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Round of 32. Muchova won the match 6-2, 7-6. She served one ace and did not commit a double fault, while Sawangkaew had no aces and four double faults.

Key context

Match story: Karolina Muchova closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Muchova K.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Sawangkaew M.

Sawangkaew M.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Muchova K.Sawangkaew M.

100

Serve

—

Return

—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Muchova K.Sawangkaew M.

1st serve in·Even

65%

67%

1st serve points won·Even

69%

66%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

51%

44%

Service points won·Even

63%

59%

Return points won·Even

43%

47%

Break points saved·Slight edge

62%

57%

Aces / match·Slight edge

3.6

2.2

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.6

3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Muchova K.Sawangkaew M.

Clutch Rating·Slight edge

Break points saved·Clear edge

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Even

Tiebreaks·

—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC

Muchova K.87%

Sawangkaew M.13%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Muchova K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Muchova K.

7.9

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Sawangkaew M.

5.8

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

7.3+182 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

2.7Grass Elo 1592

9.3Overall Elo 2041

ELO gap

0.7Overall Elo 1697

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.97 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.77 of last 10 on grass

9.06-match win streak

Win streak

9.05-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.04 three-setters in 14 days

Context

6.0Reached the R128 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Muchova K.Sawangkaew M.

Freshness·

—

Sawangkaew M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

27°CMainly clear

Wind 9 km/hHumidity 28%

Karolina Muchova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew — Wimbledon Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass