Jessica Pegula vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroWimbledon Round of 32

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 32
#3WTA
2097ELO
1903Grass ELO
$3.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
32 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
grass
No.2 Court · 2nd on
#90WTA
1721ELO
1625Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWWL
Pegula J.
6-1 6-3
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Pegula J.
662
Bouzas Maneiro J.
130

Jessica Pegula advanced to the Round of 16 at Wimbledon by defeating Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-1, 6-3. Pegula served 2 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points and winning 81% of her first-serve points. She won 5 service breaks to Bouzas Maneiro's 1.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR32hardJessica Pegula6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
18
Break points saved·Dominant
86
4
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
24
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Pegula J.92%
Bouzas Maneiro J.8%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pegula J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+271 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Grass Elo 1632
9.7Overall Elo 2097
ELO gap
0.3Overall Elo 1721
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.98 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.4Won 57% in United Kingdom (21)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
78

Pegula J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw