Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla ValleMilan Quarter-final

Milan · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#133ATP
1695ELO
1679Clay ELO
$178kYTD
$620kCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#328ATP
1462ELO
1439Clay ELO
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Heide G.
7-6 7-6
Dalla Valle E.
Heide G.
772
Dalla Valle E.
660

Gustavo Heide defeated Enrico Dalla Valle in the quarterfinals of the Milan clay tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6. Heide and Dalla Valle were nearly even in several categories, including aces, double faults, and service breaks, with Heide holding a slight edge in first-serve win percentage.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
65%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
51
26
Break points saved·Dominant
90
58
Break points won·Even
10
7
Deciding sets·Slight edge
63
53
Tiebreaks·Dominant
88
45

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Heide G.83%
Dalla Valle E.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Heide G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+233 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Clay Elo 1457
7.8Overall Elo 1703
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1479
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
97

Heide G.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Dalla Valle E.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw