Alan Magadan vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaQuito Quarter-final

Quito · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#561ATP
1274ELO
1238Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 3 July 2026 ·
clay
CANCHA 1 · 2nd on
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Magadan A.
1-6 7-6 4-6
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
Magadan A.
1741
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6662

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Alan Magadan 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Quito tournament on clay. Pucinelli De Almeida converted 55% of his break points and won six service breaks to Magadan's three. He hit one ace and seven double faults, while Magadan had five aces and six double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
53%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
4.4
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Magadan A.20%
Pucinelli De Almeida M.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pucinelli De Almeida M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1238
Surface ELO
6.9+153 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1274
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
85
59

Magadan A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw