Felix Auger Aliassime vs Michael Zheng

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 32

CAN3

Felix Auger Aliassime

#4ATP

1958ELO

1789Grass ELO

$2.1MYTD

$23MCAREER

26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWWLWWL

3 — 0

Sets

Friday, 3 July 2026 · 19:10

grass

Centre Court · 3rd on

USA

Michael Zheng

#110ATP

1695ELO

1515Grass ELO

$310kYTD

$502kCAREER

22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWLWLWL

Auger Aliassime F.

7-6 6-2 6-1

Zheng M.

Auger Aliassime F.

7663

Zheng M.

6210

Felix Auger Aliassime defeated Michael Zheng in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 6-2, 6-1 in favor of Auger Aliassime.

Key context

Match story: Felix Auger Aliassime came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–2 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Auger Aliassime F.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Zheng M.

Zheng M.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Auger Aliassime F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on grass

Auger Aliassime F.Zheng M.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Auger Aliassime F.Zheng M.

1st serve in·Even

68%

64%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

78%

70%

2nd serve points won·Even

52%

50%

Service points won·Slight edge

70%

63%

Return points won·Even

35%

39%

Break points saved·Slight edge

67%

60%

Aces / match·Dominant

10.8

5.8

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.5

1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC

Auger Aliassime F.94%

Zheng M.6%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Auger Aliassime F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Auger Aliassime F.

7.8

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Zheng M.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

8.7+299 Grass Elo edge

Surface ELO

1.3Grass Elo 1490

8.9Overall Elo 1958

ELO gap

1.1Overall Elo 1646

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.17 of last 10 on grass

Surface form

7.25 of last 8 on grass

Win streak

9.05-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

6.0Reached the R64 here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Auger Aliassime F.Zheng M.

Freshness·Clear edge

Auger Aliassime F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 124 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Medium-fastrewards aggression

SlowFast

Weather

27°CMainly clear

Wind 10 km/hHumidity 31%

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Michael Zheng — Wimbledon Round of 32

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass

Statistics

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on grass