
Iva Jovic defeated Ekaterina Alexandrova in the Round of 32 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 victory. Jovic converted 56% of her break points, securing five service breaks to Alexandrova's four, despite a lower first-serve win percentage and fewer aces. The win moves Jovic forward in the tournament.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R64 | hard | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 4-6 6-4 7-5 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Clear favourite · Jovic I. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Alexandrova E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Jovic I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About