Yosuke Watanuki vs Tung Lin Wu — Cary Round of 16
Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#416ATP
1541ELO
1531Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 2nd on
Watanuki Y.6-3 6-7 6-1
Lin Wu T.
Watanuki Y.
6662
Lin Wu T.
3711
Yosuke Watanuki defeated Tung Lin Wu in the Round of 16 at the Cary hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-7, 6-1 in favor of Watanuki.
Key context
- Match story: Yosuke Watanuki came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 6–7 6–1.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-03-26 | Japan F4 | R16 | hard | Yosuke Watanuki | 6-4 5-7 7-6(5) |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
52%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
48%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressureClutch Rating·Slight edge
16
10
Break points saved·Clear edge
70
84
Break points won·Even
3
6
Deciding sets·Slight edge
11
6
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
4
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCWatanuki Y.70%
Lin Wu T.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Watanuki Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
7.0+160 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.0Hard Elo 1376
6.8Overall Elo 1552
ELO gap3.2Overall Elo 1406
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H5.0First meeting on hard
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.54 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 58%