Karolina Pliskova vs Iga Swiatek — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Karolina Pliskova
CZE
Karolina Pliskova
#57WTA
1869ELO
1758Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 1st on
Iga Swiatek
POL3
Iga Swiatek
#5WTA
2064ELO
1909Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWLW
Pliskova K.
1-6 3-6
Swiatek I.
Pliskova K.
130
Swiatek I.
662

Iga Swiatek defeated Karolina Pliskova in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning 6-1, 6-3 on the grass courts. Swiatek did not hit an ace but converted 75% of her break points, securing six service breaks in the match. Pliskova hit two aces and converted 50% of her break points, but was limited by just 39% of first-serve wins.

Around the match

  • “To play a Czech in the first round, it's somehow not nice, especially at a Slam. We are everywhere, there's a big chance to play them because there are many of us.”

    Pliskova K.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “I don't particularly know her game on grass. She has a tricky game. I can assume that on grass it's even more tricky because of the surface. She doesn't give that rhythm.”

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗

  • “It was quite a lot. Today I felt like it was a normal day at the office. For sure it helped with the preparation and focus.”

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-07MontrealR32hardIga Swiatek7-6 6-2
2023-04-17StuttgartQFclayIga Swiatek4-6 6-1 6-2
2021-05-10RomeFclayIga Swiatek6-0 6-0
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
97
Break points saved·Even
86
87
Break points won·Slight edge
93
100
Deciding sets·Even
96
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Pliskova K.14%
Swiatek I.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pliskova K.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Swiatek I.
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Grass Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.2+172 Grass Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1880
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 2080
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.56 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.3Won 71% in United Kingdom (69)
Country comfort
6.6Won 77% in United Kingdom (26)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pliskova K.Swiatek I.
Freshness·Dominant
94
63

Pliskova K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw