Brandon Nakashima vs Jan Lennard StruffWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#22ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
2 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 12 · 2nd on
#43ATP
1694ELO
1623Grass ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWL
Nakashima B.
6-4 6-7 6-7 7-6 6-7
Lennard Struff J.
Nakashima B.
666762
Lennard Struff J.
477673

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Brandon Nakashima in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 in favor of Struff. He hit 44 aces and committed 10 double faults, while Nakashima had 41 aces and 2 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
68%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Even
9.6
10.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
36
51
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Even
3
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Nakashima B.84%
Lennard Struff J.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nakashima B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+134 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Grass Elo 1623
6.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1692
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
7.98 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.1Won 68% in United Kingdom (25)
Country comfort
4.9Won 48% in United Kingdom (21)
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
52
83

Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d) · Lennard Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw