Luka Pavlovic vs Dimitar KuzmanovBrasov Round of 16

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#207ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRAL COURT · 2nd on
#387ATP
1431ELO
1394Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWL
Pavlovic L.
6-4 2-6 6-7
Kuzmanov D.
Pavlovic L.
6261
Kuzmanov D.
4672

Dimitar Kuzmanov defeated Luka Pavlovic in the Round of 16 at the Brasov tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 6-2, 7-6. Kuzmanov hit one ace and four double faults, while Pavlovic had seven aces and six double faults. Kuzmanov converted 22% of break points and won four service breaks, compared to Pavlovic's 43% conversion rate and three service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
54%
71%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
16
Break points saved·Dominant
93
61
Break points won·Slight edge
24
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
12
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Pavlovic L.51%
Kuzmanov D.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1400
Surface ELO
5.2+12 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1441
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1448
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
100

Pavlovic L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Kuzmanov D.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw