Daniil Glinka vs Edward WinterCary Round of 16

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#160ATP
1477ELO
1491Hard ELO
$131kYTD
$268kCAREER
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 2nd on
#355ATP
1434ELO
1404Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWL
Glinka D.
7-6 4-6 4-6
Winter E.
Glinka D.
7441
Winter E.
6662

Edward Winter defeated Daniil Glinka in the Round of 16 at the Cary hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 in favor of Winter. Winter hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while Glinka hit 9 aces and 6 double faults; Winter won 74% of first-serve points and converted 25% of break points, compared to Glinka's 71% and 33%, respectively; Winter secured 4 service breaks to Glinka's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Glinka D.56%
Winter E.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+91 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1404
5.6Overall Elo 1485
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1434
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
66

Glinka D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Winter E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw