Alexandra Eala vs Maya JointWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#20WTA
1895ELO
1795Grass ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
No.3 Court · 2nd on
#67WTA
1659ELO
1564Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLWW
Eala A.
3-6 6-2 6-0
Joint M.
Eala A.
3662
Joint M.
6201

Alexandra Eala defeated Maya Joint in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 in favor of Eala. Eala served four aces to Joint's one and won four service breaks to Joint's two.

Around the match

  • I'm very happy with my first round. I think that I played really well and kept the intensity throughout the whole match so I'm hoping to keep this momentum going throughout the week.

  • I was really surprised. The Filipinos keep surprising me in good ways. I know how notoriously difficult it is to get tickets to this event so to have what I would call a full house of almost Filipinos is amazing. I never would have thought that at Wimbledon I would have like a home crowd so super thankful and I really enjoyed that.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-23EastbourneFgrassMaya Joint6-4 1-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Even
56%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
77
Break points saved·Dominant
12
76
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
65
77
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Eala A.87%
Joint M.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Eala A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+218 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Grass Elo 1604
7.9Overall Elo 1911
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1678
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
85

Eala A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Joint M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 35%

Draw