Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo SonegoWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#105ATP
1716ELO
1639Grass ELO
$530kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
2 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 1st on
#88ATP
1719ELO
1628Grass ELO
$448kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
Diallo G.
6-7 6-4 6-7 7-6 2-6
Sonego L.
Diallo G.
666722
Sonego L.
747663

Lorenzo Sonego defeated Gabriel Diallo in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, 6-7, 6-2. Sonego and Diallo hit 14 and 11 aces respectively, committed 3 and 6 double faults, and had first-serve win percentages of 75 and 73; both players converted 3 service breaks, but Sonego converted 38% of break points while Diallo converted 60%.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Sonego closed it out in five sets, 7–6 4–6 7–6 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AucklandR32hardLorenzo Sonego7-6 2-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
43
47
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
97
Break points won·Even
22
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
77
52
Tiebreaks·Dominant
21
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Diallo G.46%
Sonego L.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Grass Elo 1628
Surface ELO
5.1+7 Grass Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1692
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1715
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.35 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in United Kingdom (31)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
99
80

Diallo G.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sonego L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw