Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander BublikWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#119ATP
1685ELO
1612Grass ELO
$269kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWL
0 — 3
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 3rd on
#13ATP
1889ELO
1802Grass ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Jacquet K.
3-6 4-6 6-7
Bublik A.
Jacquet K.
3460
Bublik A.
6673

Alexander Bublik defeated Kyrian Jacquet in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 on the grass courts. Bublik hit 15 aces to Jacquet's 8 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Jacquet's 22%. Bublik won the match, taking 4 service breaks to Jacquet's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.6
11.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
81
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
98
Break points won·Dominant
27
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
40
98
Tiebreaks·Even
91
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Jacquet K.13%
Bublik A.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bublik A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Grass Elo 1602
Surface ELO
7.5+200 Grass Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1664
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1889
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.38 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.5Won 58% in United Kingdom (31)
Context
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
77

Jacquet K.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 30%

Draw