Valerio Aboian vs Felipe Meligeni AlvesQuito Round of 16

Quito · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#434ATP
1348ELO
1339Clay ELO
24 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 2 July 2026 ·
clay
CANCHA 1 · 1st on
#567ATP
1477ELO
1469Clay ELO
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Aboian V.
2-6 4-6
Meligeni Alves F.
Aboian V.
240
Meligeni Alves F.
662

Felipe Meligeni Alves defeated Valerio Aboian 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Quito tournament on clay. Alves served six aces to Aboian's four and did not commit a double fault, while Aboian converted 100 percent of his break points. Alves won the match with four service breaks to Aboian's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
55%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
12
30
Break points saved·Dominant
39
78
Break points won·Dominant
37
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
18
39
Tiebreaks·
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Aboian V.32%
Meligeni Alves F.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Meligeni Alves F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1326
Surface ELO
6.8+143 Clay Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1334
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.75 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
64

Aboian V.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Meligeni Alves F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw