Francesco Passaro vs Enrico Dalla ValleMilan Round of 16

Milan · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#222ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$91kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#328ATP
1462ELO
1439Clay ELO
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWL
Passaro F.
2-6 4-6
Dalla Valle E.
Passaro F.
240
Dalla Valle E.
662

Enrico Dalla Valle defeated Francesco Passaro 6-2, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Milan clay court tournament. Dalla Valle hit 4 aces to Passaro's 1 and converted 60% of his break points, compared to Passaro's 0%. Dalla Valle won 83% of his first-serve points to Passaro's 60%, and he secured 3 service breaks to Passaro's 0, while committing 1 double fault to Passaro's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
26
Break points saved·Dominant
89
58
Break points won·Even
11
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
53
Tiebreaks·Dominant
84
45

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Passaro F.75%
Dalla Valle E.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+137 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1457
6.6Overall Elo 1607
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1479
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
97

Passaro F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Dalla Valle E.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw