Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan QuinnWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#112ATP
1475ELO
1520Grass ELO
$243kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWL
3 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 3rd on
#58ATP
1804ELO
1712Grass ELO
$786kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWLL
Mochizuki S.
6-2 7-6 7-5
Quinn E.
Mochizuki S.
6773
Quinn E.
2650

Shintaro Mochizuki defeated Ethan Quinn in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-2, 7-6, 7-5. Mochizuki hit 6 aces and 3 double faults, compared to Quinn's 11 aces and 6 double faults. Mochizuki converted 50% of his break points and won 4 service breaks, while Quinn converted 17% of his break points and won 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
67%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
8.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
25
67
Break points saved·Dominant
60
89
Break points won·Dominant
68
29
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
57
82

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Mochizuki S.11%
Quinn E.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Quinn E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Grass Elo 1525
Surface ELO
6.6+132 Grass Elo edge
1.4Overall Elo 1485
ELO gap
8.6Overall Elo 1776
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.06 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached final qualifying here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Mochizuki S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw