Nicolas Mejia vs Michael ZhengWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
#122ATP
1477ELO
1442Grass ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
1 — 3
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 17 · 2nd on
#110ATP
1695ELO
1515Grass ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Mejia N.
7-6 6-7 1-6 4-6
Zheng M.
Mejia N.
76141
Zheng M.
67663

Michael Zheng defeated Nicolas Mejia in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-6, 6-1, 6-4 in favor of Zheng. Zheng hit 20 aces and converted 43% of break points, while Mejia was unable to capitalize on any break point opportunities.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Even
5.0
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.2
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Mejia N.22%
Zheng M.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zheng M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Grass Elo 1445
Surface ELO
5.6+45 Grass Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1482
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1646
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.15 of last 8 on grass
Surface form
6.64 of last 7 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
58

Mejia N.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 124 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw