Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroWimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
#107WTA
1792ELO
1673Grass ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 2nd on
#90WTA
1721ELO
1625Grass ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWL
Yastremska D.
3-6 7-6 2-6
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Yastremska D.
3721
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6662

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro defeated Dayana Yastremska in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning 6-3, 6-7, 6-2. Bouzas Maneiro served 4 aces and committed 2 double faults, while converting 73% of her break points and winning 62% of her first-serve points. She won 8 service breaks to Yastremska's 5.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-24BeijingR64hardJessica Bouzas Maneiro7-5 6-4
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassJessica Bouzas Maneiro6-1 2-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
50%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.8
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
18
Break points saved·Clear edge
23
4
Break points won·Even
93
93
Deciding sets·Slight edge
19
24
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Yastremska D.65%
Bouzas Maneiro J.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Yastremska D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+41 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Grass Elo 1632
5.9Overall Elo 1792
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1721
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
6.87 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.6Won 60% in United Kingdom (25)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
78

Yastremska D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 15 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw