Tatjana Maria vs Iva Jovic — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 64
Tatjana Maria
GER
Tatjana Maria
#80WTA
1703ELO
1688Grass ELO
39 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Court 15 · 4th on
Iva Jovic
USA16
Iva Jovic
#16WTA
1906ELO
1798Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$2.8MCAREER
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Maria T.
1-6 2-6
Jovic I.
Maria T.
120
Jovic I.
662

Iva Jovic defeated Tatjana Maria in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-1, 6-2 on the grass courts. Jovic hit 4 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 38% of her break points and securing 3 service breaks. Tatjana Maria managed 3 aces and 2 double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Maria T.Jovic I.
1st serve in·Even
59%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Maria T.Jovic I.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
2
91
Break points saved·Dominant
4
95
Break points won·Dominant
70
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
3
92
Tiebreaks·
10
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Maria T.13%
Jovic I.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Jovic I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Maria T.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Jovic I.
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Grass Elo 1646
Surface ELO
6.9+152 Grass Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1906
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
8.08 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
5.1Won 52% in United Kingdom (42)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Maria T.Jovic I.
Freshness·Clear edge
90
76

Maria T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Jovic I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw