Blake Ellis vs Philip SekulicCary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#477ATP
1416ELO
1390Hard ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 15 · 2nd on
#307ATP
1390ELO
1363Hard ELO
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWW
Ellis B.
7-5 6-7 7-5
Sekulic P.
Ellis B.
7672
Sekulic P.
5751

Blake Ellis defeated Philip Sekulic in the Round of 32 at the Cary hard-court tournament, winning 7-5, 6-7, 7-5. Ellis served 14 aces to Sekulic's 3 and won 82% of his first-serve points, compared to Sekulic's 61%. Ellis converted 31% of his break points and broke Sekulic's serve 5 times, while Sekulic broke Ellis' serve 3 times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
68%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.9
4.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
41
27
Break points saved·Even
79
79
Break points won·Slight edge
3
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
78
45
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
38
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Ellis B.52%
Sekulic P.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1363
5.3Overall Elo 1416
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1390
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
3.24 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw