Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges — Wimbledon Round of 64

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 64
Jannik Sinner
ITA1
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 1 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 1st on
Nuno Borges
POR
Nuno Borges
#47ATP
1769ELO
1656Grass ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWLWL
Sinner J.
7-6 7-6 6-4
Borges N.
Sinner J.
7763
Borges N.
6640

Jannik Sinner defeated Nuno Borges in the Round of 64 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 7-6, 7-6, 6-4. Sinner served 21 aces and committed 3 double faults, while converting 38% of break points and winning 83% of first-serve points. Borges converted 50% of break points and broke Sinner's serve twice.

Around the match

  • “The second set was very, very tough. We were both serving very well, so there were not a lot of exchanges. These are the kind of matches where you don't have a lot of control, so I'm very happy to win, especially here on this surface.”

    Sinner J.tennismajors.com ↗

  • “Especially in the first match I felt a lack of matches, and today there were a couple of moments where I needed to get back into rhythm. But if you look at the scoreboard, it was very close, and these matches help me a lot.”

    Sinner J.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-26SofiaR16hardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Borges N.
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.3
6.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Borges N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
99
57
Break points saved·Slight edge
100
93
Break points won·Dominant
99
23
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
48

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Sinner J.96%
Borges N.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sinner J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Borges N.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+485 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1603
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1746
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
9.39 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.7Won 79% in United Kingdom (28)
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Borges N.
Freshness·
—
62

Borges N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw