Taylor Townsend vs Iga SwiatekWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#94WTA
1826ELO
1620Grass ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 1st on
#5WTA
2064ELO
1909Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
Townsend T.
1-6 6-2 3-6
Swiatek I.
Townsend T.
1631
Swiatek I.
6262

Iga Swiatek defeated Taylor Townsend in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 victory. Swiatek converted 71% of her break points and won 68% of her first-serve points, while also recording 9 double faults. Townsend had 3 aces and 3 service breaks in the match.

Around the match

  • I feel like people talk about it more. I think the whole vibe of becoming a member of the All England Club is something that you are not going to experience on other tournaments.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis
  • I'm really in a place that I'm keeping my expectations low. I think, honestly, I had a lot of calm and confidence in my shots. That was the key.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek closed it out in three sets, 6–1 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
47
97
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
87
Break points won·Dominant
31
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
35
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Townsend T.11%
Swiatek I.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Swiatek I. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.1Grass Elo 1628
Surface ELO
8.9+308 Grass Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1836
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 2080
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.6Won 76% in United Kingdom (25)
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
70
63

Townsend T.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw