Tereza Valentova vs Karolina PliskovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#64WTA
1818ELO
1648Grass ELO
$684kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 4 · 1st on
#57WTA
1869ELO
1758Grass ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWL
Valentova T.
3-6 4-6
Pliskova K.
Valentova T.
340
Pliskova K.
662

Karolina Pliskova defeated Tereza Valentova in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 6-3, 6-4 on the grass court. Pliskova served one ace and committed seven double faults, while converting 20% of her break points and winning 81% of her first-serve points. Pliskova broke Valentova's serve once, and did not allow Valentova to break her serve.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Valentova T.22%
Pliskova K.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pliskova K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Grass Elo 1610
Surface ELO
6.9+154 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1825
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1880
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.64 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
6.2Won 71% in United Kingdom (68)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
96

Valentova T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw