Luka Pavlovic vs Akira SantillanBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#207ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#290ATP
1367ELO
1325Clay ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Pavlovic L.
7-6 6-3
Santillan A.
Pavlovic L.
762
Santillan A.
630

Luka Pavlovic defeated Akira Santillan in the Round of 32 of the Brasov tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-3. Pavlovic hit 11 aces to Santillan's 2 and converted 25% of break points, securing one service break to Santillan's none. Pavlovic won 73% of first-serve points to Santillan's 78%, and both players made four double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Luka Pavlovic closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
65%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.4
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
60
0
Break points saved·Dominant
93
32
Break points won·Slight edge
24
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
71
14
Tiebreaks·Dominant
91
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Pavlovic L.65%
Santillan A.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pavlovic L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+63 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1337
5.8Overall Elo 1441
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1376
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
99

Pavlovic L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Santillan A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw