Stefan Palosi vs Denis YevseyevBrasov Round of 32

Brasov · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#407ATP
1369ELO
1355Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
#444ATP
1375ELO
1341Clay ELO
33 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLLWLLL
Palosi S.
6-4 6-7 7-5
Yevseyev D.
Palosi S.
6672
Yevseyev D.
4751

Stefan Palosi defeated Denis Yevseyev in the Round of 32 of the Brasov tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-7, 7-5. Palosi hit one ace and six double faults, while Yevseyev had two aces and zero double faults. Palosi converted 33% of his break points and won three service breaks, compared to Yevseyev's two service breaks and 25% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
71%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Palosi S.51%
Yevseyev D.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1355
Surface ELO
5.1+12 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1369
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1396
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Yevseyev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CShowers
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw