Yuta Shimizu vs Michael MmohCary Round of 32

Cary · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#393ATP
1446ELO
1417Hard ELO
27 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#180ATP
1613ELO
1599Hard ELO
$87kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLL
Shimizu Y.
6-7 6-7
Mmoh M.
Shimizu Y.
660
Mmoh M.
772

Michael Mmoh defeated Yuta Shimizu in the Round of 32 at the Cary hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 7-6. Mmoh served five aces and committed five double faults, while converting 14% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points. Both players earned one service break apiece.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
6.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
22
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
65
84
Break points won·Clear edge
9
28
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
59
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Shimizu Y.24%
Mmoh M.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mmoh M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1417
Surface ELO
7.3+182 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1447
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Mmoh M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw