Elise Mertens vs Laura SiegemundWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#22WTA
1894ELO
1750Grass ELO
$2.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 3rd on
#98WTA
1769ELO
1634Grass ELO
$736kYTD
$8.8MCAREER
38 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLWL
Mertens E.
6-2 6-4
Siegemund L.
Mertens E.
662
Siegemund L.
240

Elise Mertens defeated Laura Siegemund in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 6-2, 6-4 on the grass courts. Mertens hit 8 aces and converted 83% of her break points, while Siegemund had no aces and converted 29% of her break points. Mertens won 5 service breaks to Siegemund's 2.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-08-31US OpenR128hardElise Mertens6-2 6-2
2018-04-30RabatR16clayElise Mertens6-7 6-0 3-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
75%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
71%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
69
29
Break points saved·Dominant
65
23
Break points won·Clear edge
97
85
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
71
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Mertens E.75%
Siegemund L.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mertens E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+84 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Grass Elo 1664
6.4Overall Elo 1891
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1779
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.46 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.4Won 57% in United Kingdom (35)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
85

Mertens E.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw