Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Caty McnallyWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#74WTA
1850ELO
1765Grass ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 7 · 3rd on
#70WTA
1817ELO
1707Grass ELO
$711kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
Gabriela Ruse E.
5-7 3-6
Mcnally C.
Gabriela Ruse E.
530
Mcnally C.
762

Caty Mcnally defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-3 in Mcnally's favor. Mcnally converted 50% of her break points and secured four service breaks, compared to Ruse's two, to advance in the tournament.

Key context

  • Match story: Caty Mcnally closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-18Australian OpenQ32hardCaty Mcnally6-1 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
45
45
Break points saved·Clear edge
11
31
Break points won·Even
93
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
33
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Gabriela Ruse E.46%
Mcnally C.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Grass Elo 1694
Surface ELO
5.3+22 Grass Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1788
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1820
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
85

Gabriela Ruse E.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 25 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw