Pedro Sakamoto vs Alan MagadanQuito Round of 32

Quito · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#506ATP
1281ELO
1266Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
CANCHA 4 · 3rd on
#561ATP
1274ELO
1238Clay ELO
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWWWLL
Sakamoto P.
6-2 3-6 5-7
Magadan A.
Sakamoto P.
6351
Magadan A.
2672

Alan Magadan defeated Pedro Sakamoto in the Round of 32 at the Quito tournament on clay, winning 2-6, 6-3, 7-5. The match saw Magadan and Sakamoto record equal numbers of aces and service breaks, 6 each, while Magadan hit more double faults, 9 to 4, and had a higher first-serve win percentage, 70 to 62. Magadan converted 50% of his break points, compared to Sakamoto's 43%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Sakamoto P.51%
Magadan A.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1238
5.1Overall Elo 1281
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1274
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.04 of last 9 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
83

Magadan A.: played today · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw