Diana Shnaider vs Eva LysWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#14WTA
1891ELO
1698Grass ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.3MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 14 · 4th on
#92WTA
1791ELO
1615Grass ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLWL
Shnaider D.
7-5 6-1
Lys E.
Shnaider D.
762
Lys E.
510

Diana Shnaider defeated Eva Lys in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 6-1 in favor of Shnaider. Shnaider hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Lys had 0 aces and 2 double faults; Shnaider won 63% of her first-serve points and converted all her break points, securing 6 service breaks to Lys' 2.

Around the match

  • She didn't expect to reach the Roland Garros semifinals.

    Shnaider D.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Diana Shnaider came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-15BudapestSFclayDiana Shnaider6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
50%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
49%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
5.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
82
45
Break points saved·Dominant
63
9
Break points won·Even
98
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
89
66
Tiebreaks·
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Shnaider D.78%
Lys E.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shnaider D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+97 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Grass Elo 1630
6.3Overall Elo 1910
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1804
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.44 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
73

Shnaider D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Lys E.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 42%

Draw