Polina Kudermetova vs Liudmila SamsonovaWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#97WTA
1727ELO
1579Grass ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 10 · 3rd on
#43WTA
1775ELO
1699Grass ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Kudermetova P.
3-6 3-6
Samsonova L.
Kudermetova P.
330
Samsonova L.
662

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Polina Kudermetova in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 6-3, 6-3 on the grass court. Samsonova hit 5 aces and committed 1 double fault, while Kudermetova had 2 aces and 3 double faults. Samsonova converted 57% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Kudermetova's 1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-30BrisbaneR32hardPolina Kudermetova6-7 6-3 6-2
2023-06-12s HertogenboschR16grassLiudmila Samsonova6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
53%
Aces / match·Even
3.0
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
4.9
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
51
54
Break points saved·Even
77
73
Break points won·Even
96
92
Deciding sets·Slight edge
29
37
Tiebreaks·
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Kudermetova P.28%
Samsonova L.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Samsonova L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Grass Elo 1577
Surface ELO
6.5+117 Grass Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1764
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
6.76 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.36 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
65

Kudermetova P.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Samsonova L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw