Petra Marcinko vs Sofia KeninWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · WTA · Round of 128
#72WTA
1745ELO
1602Grass ELO
$588kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
20 yrs · 176 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 11 · 1st on
#115WTA
1694ELO
1568Grass ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLWL
Marcinko P.
6-7 4-6
Kenin S.
Marcinko P.
640
Kenin S.
762

Sofia Kenin defeated Petra Marcinko in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning 7-6, 6-4 on the grass courts. Kenin hit one ace and two double faults, while Marcinko had four aces and 11 double faults. Both players converted 3 service breaks, with Kenin converting 75% of her break points and Marcinko converting 33%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
38%
Break points saved·Even
47%
50%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.0
Double faults / match·Even
4.7
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
72
53
Break points saved·Slight edge
54
65
Break points won·Slight edge
95
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
38
Tiebreaks·
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Marcinko P.31%
Kenin S.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kenin S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Grass Elo 1468
Surface ELO
6.4+116 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1703
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
90
72

Marcinko P.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Kenin S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
17°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw