Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington JonesWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#22ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
3 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 18 · 2nd on
#177ATP
1557ELO
1535Grass ELO
$226kYTD
$568kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLL
Nakashima B.
6-3 7-6 7-5
Pinnington Jones J.
Nakashima B.
6773
Pinnington Jones J.
3650

Brandon Nakashima defeated Jack Pinnington Jones in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 7-6, 7-5 in favor of Nakashima. Nakashima hit 7 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 57% of break points and winning 87% of first-serve points, compared to Pinnington Jones' 8 aces, 6 double faults, 27% break point conversion, and 67% first-serve win percentage; Nakashima secured 4 service breaks to Pinnington Jones' 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.8
5.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
36
66
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
89
Break points won·Dominant
3
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Nakashima B.89%
Pinnington Jones J.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nakashima B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.6+212 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Grass Elo 1545
8.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1561
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Won 67% in United Kingdom (24)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
52
72

Nakashima B.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 98 games (7d) · Pinnington Jones J.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw