Lorenzo Giustino vs Svyatoslav GulinTroyes Round of 32

Troyes · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 - INTERMARCHE · 1st on
#576ATP
1308ELO
1299Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Giustino L.
6-4 1-6 6-4
Gulin S.
Giustino L.
6162
Gulin S.
4641

Lorenzo Giustino defeated Svyatoslav Gulin in the Round of 32 at the Troyes clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 1-6, 6-4 in Giustino's favor. Giustino advanced with the win.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-29M25 Tarragona 1QFclayLorenzo Giustino6-7(3) 6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Giustino L.61%
Gulin S.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Giustino L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+62 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1299
6.5Overall Elo 1424
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1307
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.52 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
85

Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Gulin S.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw