Bruno Fernandez vs Rodrigo Pacheco MendezQuito Round of 32

Quito · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#651ATP
1149ELO
1139Clay ELO
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
clay
CANCHA CENTRAL · 4th on
#292ATP
1527ELO
1460Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLWWL
Fernandez B.
7-5 2-6 4-6
Pacheco Mendez R.
Fernandez B.
7241
Pacheco Mendez R.
5662

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez defeated Bruno Fernandez in the Round of 32 of the Quito tournament on clay, coming back from a set down to win 5-7, 6-2, 6-4. Pacheco Mendez hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, winning 82% of his first serves and converting all of his break points. Fernandez hit 9 aces and 10 double faults, winning 79% of his first serves and converting 29% of his break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
53%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Fernandez B.17%
Pacheco Mendez R.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pacheco Mendez R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.2Clay Elo 1157
Surface ELO
8.8+303 Clay Elo edge
0.5Overall Elo 1166
ELO gap
9.5Overall Elo 1526
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.95 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Pacheco Mendez R.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw