Dane Sweeny vs Grigor Dimitrov — Wimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
AUSQ
Dane Sweeny
#124ATP
1460ELO
1362Grass ELO
$256kYTD
$861kCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWWWL
0 — 3
Sets
Tuesday, 30 June 2026 ·
grass
Court 18 · 4th on
Grigor Dimitrov
BULWC
Grigor Dimitrov
#138ATP
1744ELO
1662Grass ELO
$329kYTD
$32MCAREER
35 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Sweeny D.
6-7 3-6 5-7
Dimitrov G.
Sweeny D.
6350
Dimitrov G.
7673

Grigor Dimitrov defeated Dane Sweeny in the Round of 128 at Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 7-6, 6-3, 7-5. Dimitrov hit 23 aces to Sweeny's 4 and had an 85% first-serve win percentage, compared to Sweeny's 65%. Dimitrov converted 40% of break points and secured 4 service breaks to Sweeny's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Grigor Dimitrov closed it out in three sets, 7–6 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Sweeny D.Dimitrov G.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.3
7.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sweeny D.Dimitrov G.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
45
86
Break points saved·Dominant
69
98
Break points won·Dominant
11
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
86
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Sweeny D.6%
Dimitrov G.94%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dimitrov G. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sweeny D.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Dimitrov G.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.4Grass Elo 1370
Surface ELO
8.6+292 Grass Elo edge
1.5Overall Elo 1478
ELO gap
8.5Overall Elo 1754
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on grass
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.8Won 63% in United Kingdom (43)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sweeny D.Dimitrov G.
Freshness·Slight edge
84
91

Sweeny D.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Dimitrov G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw